Sociologist Iago Kachkachishvili stated on PalitraNews' program "Resume" that the majority of "Georgian Dream" voters are not firmly convinced of their choice, whereas 40% of opposition-minded voters are firmly confident in their political stance and consistently express their political orientation.
According to Kachkachishvili, the survey was conducted across Georgia using a face-to-face, random selection method, with a response rate of 75%.
"The initiative for this research came from our organization, and no political party was behind it. The main goal was to conduct a large-scale, publicly available survey on public opinion after the elections. Some surveys were conducted, but they were mostly telephone-based, which, in my opinion, has a high margin of error. Many people perceive phone surveys as a punitive mechanism rather than a neutral one, which is why we opted for face-to-face interviews.
We approached donor organizations such as the Civil Society Foundation (formerly the Soros Foundation) and the United Nations Association of Georgia, both of which funded the research. This survey was conducted nationwide, with 2,000 respondents, ensuring high statistical reliability.
Our analysis categorized the population based on political affiliation. The findings revealed that approximately 60% of Georgians have opposition-leaning views. "Georgian Dream" and ideologically aligned parties hold about one-third of the electorate (33-34%), while around 7% remain undecided.
Notably, 64% of "Georgian Dream" supporters are weak supporters, meaning that most of its voters are not firmly convinced of their choice. In contrast, 40% of opposition supporters are firmly confident in their choice and consistently express their political stance," said Kachkachishvili.
When asked why the election results did not reflect these findings, Kachkachishvili responded that this survey serves as evidence that the elections were manipulated. According to him, the survey results align with exit poll data from the October 26 elections, published by two international companies.
"Our research is further proof that the elections were rigged and manipulated. We asked participants whether they had voted in the last election and whom they supported. Among those who voted, 32% supported 'Georgian Dream,' while 51% backed the opposition. Around 17% declined to answer, and further analysis showed that about 9% of them were government supporters. These results closely match the exit polls released on election day, which is quite remarkable.
Another key finding of our research is that since the October 26 elections, 'Georgian Dream' has further weakened, losing around 8-9% of its voters. Our rating analysis indicates that its core support base now stands at about 25%, but overall, it can still mobilize around 32% of the votes.
Meanwhile, other parties have seen slight improvements in their ratings, and their ranking remains in the same order as observed in the elections," Kachkachishvili stated.