“It is extremely important for us that the war in Ukraine does not end with Russia’s victory. If Russia achieves victory in Ukraine — especially on a strategic level — it will, in every scenario, be left with a great deal of time and resources to turn to other countries, including Georgia,” former diplomat Zurab Farjiani stated on the program Polit-Kalaki.

According to him, a Russian victory would worsen the situation for everyone — including for the ‘Georgian Dream’ government (“Kots”) itself.

“It is extremely important for us that the war in Ukraine does not end with Russia’s victory. It may not end with Russia’s defeat either — but Russia’s victory would complicate the situation for us, including for the ‘Kots’.

If Russia achieves victory in Ukraine — especially a strategic victory — it will, in every scenario, have plenty of time and resources to turn to other countries, including Georgia. Ukraine’s defeat is not beneficial for anyone, no matter what political stance you have,” Farjiani said.

He also commented on the U.S. “peace plan,” explaining that this is not the first “peace proposal” and likely will not be the last. According to him, neither Russia is in a position to abandon the war nor Ukraine in a position to agree to capitulation.

“The situation in Ukraine has been extremely difficult since the end of February 2022. Even next Saturday we cannot expect clarity — this ‘peace plan’ is not the first plan. How many have there been? Countless plans, countless attempts. This is not the first peace plan, and it may not be the last.

The situation on the front is very complicated: in Zaporizhzhia, near Kupiansk, and in the Pokrovsk–Myrnohrad direction. The war has reached the phase of attrition. In a war of attrition, what matters is which side gets exhausted first. Germany lost World War I without the enemy stepping foot on German soil — it lost the war of attrition and the country collapsed.

I listened to Putin, and you’d think they captured Kyiv in three days, and Gazmanov held a concert. In reality, Russia’s “success” went from the promise of taking Kyiv to fighting for Myrnohrad and Pokrovsk. This is a war of attrition — a huge number of people are dying. Nobody knows when Russia’s economy and resources will run out. There is no threat of the front collapsing on either side, but in this massive meat grinder, so many Russians are dying that their current mobilization pace may not be enough.

Russia is not in a position to abandon the war, and Ukraine is not in a position to agree to capitulation. Unfortunately, this war will likely end with the unconditional defeat of one side. I do not believe in a political agreement,” Farjiani concluded.